Pennsylvania (Web Desk/Agencies): Former US President Donald Trump, a Republican candidate, and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris remain deadlocked in a pair of polls released Thursday, but the Democratic nominee maintains a 4-point lead in the battleground state of Pennsylvania.
(A battleground state where the number of Democratic and Republican voters is about the same, meaning that it has an important influence on the result of the election of the US president).
Trump and Ms. Harris each have 47% of likely voters’ support nationwide, while Harris leads Trump 50% to 46% in the Keystone State, according to new data from The New York Times, Siena College and Philadelphia Inquirer. The polling was conducted almost entirely before the former president was targeted Sunday in a second apparent assassination attempt.
Among registered voters nationally, Trump leads Ms. Harris 47% to 46% — a result that changed little from a poll conducted a week before that showed Trump leading 48% to 46% among registered voters nationally.
In late July, immediately after former President Biden ended his bid for the White House, the results were similar: Trump led Harris 48% to 46% among registered voters. The results are all within the margins of error.
The latest poll of likely voters shows Ms. Harris maintains a solid lead over Trump among women, with 53% support to his 41%. Among adults aged 18-29, the vice president garners 56% backing compared to the former president’s 33%. Harris also brings in 77% support from Black voters, compared to the 14% who back Trump, the polling found.
Trump, meanwhile, maintains a commanding lead nationally among men, with 52% backing him and 39%backing Harris. Among people 65 years and older, Trump has 50% support compared to Ms. Harris’s 44%. The former president also earns 53% support from white voters, while 43 percent said they back Harris, the surveys showed.
In the Pennsylvania poll, Ms. Harris leads among similar demographic groups, with support from 57% of women, 61% of adults ages 18-29 and 82 percent of Black voters. Trump has support in the state from 53% of men and 51% of white voters.
Among seniors, however, the results are flipped, and Ms. Harris takes the lead over Trump, 50% to 47%.
Ms. Harris also has enjoyed a bump in her favorability ratings in Pennsylvania since early July. In the new poll, 51% view her favourably, up from 42% in early July. Nationally, a similar 48% of likely voters have a favorable view of the vice president.
Trump’s favorability ratings have also improved nationally, with 47% seeing him favorably — a level higher than even when he was leading Biden earlier this year.
In The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s (DDHQ) national polling average, Ms. Harris leads by 3.6 points, 49.7% to Trump’s 46.1%.
In Pennsylvania, the vice president maintains a slim 1-point lead over the Republican presidential nominee, 48.8% to 47.8%, the DDHQ polling index shows.
The poll, conducted September 11-16, included interviews with 2,437 likely voters nationwide, including a poll of 1,082 voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error for the national poll is 3 percentage points, and it is 3.8 percentage points for the Pennsylvania poll.